Profile
Nikola Milenković is a £5.1m defender for Nott’m Forest, currently listed at 3.3% ownership and available with status a. He opened the season at £5.5m and has dropped £0.4m, which already tells part of the story. This is not an explosive attacking defender profile, but rather a minutes-secure centre back who has offered durability and baseline value.
The biggest positive is security of role. Milenković has played 3105 minutes, a huge total for an FPL defender, and that level of availability matters late in the season when managers want reliable starters. For Forest, he fits the mould of a low-maintenance squad defender, someone more likely to accumulate through starts, clean-sheet potential and occasional bonus involvement than through goals and assists.
This-season output
His season total stands at 112 points, with 3.2 points per game. Over the last five gameweeks, his form is 4.0, which is slightly above his season average and suggests he remains usable rather than completely dead weight.
The output breakdown is modest. Milenković has scored 0 goals and supplied just 1 assist, so managers should be clear that this is not an upside-first pick. His value has come primarily from defensive returns, with 9 clean sheets on the season. He has also collected 2 bonus points, which again underlines the profile: dependable, but not often a major haul threat.
From the underlying FPL metrics, he has a BPS of 381 and an ICT Index of 77.0. Those are not elite attacking-defender numbers, and they support what the raw returns already show. He is not generating enough in the final third to be treated like a premium defender, but the baseline numbers are respectable enough for a budget-to-midprice option who simply keeps playing.
Ownership and price journey
At 3.3% selected by, Milenković is a low-ownership differential, though not the kind built on explosive upside. His appeal is more about squad structure and fixture coverage. The market is not especially enthusiastic right now either. This gameweek he has seen +3,151 transfers in against -6,133 transfers out, a net negative swing that reflects limited excitement around Forest defenders.
The price drop from £5.5m to £5.1m is significant. It means current buyers are entering at a discount, but it also shows the asset has not convinced the wider FPL market over time. That can create value if fixtures and minutes line up, but it also caps confidence levels. He is not being bought as a bandwagon, he is being considered as a practical final-weeks piece.
Upcoming outlook
Forest’s final three fixtures are decent without being outstanding. In GW36, Milenković has a home match against NEW with an expected points projection of 3.44. In GW37, Forest travel to MUN and his projection dips to 3.13. In GW38, he is back at home against BOU for 3.33 xP.
Those projections are stable, which fits his overall profile. There is no huge ceiling implied here, but there is a reasonable chance of steady 2 to 6 point returns across the run-in. For managers chasing rank aggressively, that may not be enough. For managers protecting rank or filling a defender slot cheaply with someone likely to start every match, it is viable.
Captaincy is a non-starter. With 0 goals, 1 assist, and only moderate clean-sheet expectation, Milenković should not be in the captain conversation. At best, he is a third defender, fourth defender, or bench rotation option depending on your squad shape.
Verdict
Watch to own in specific builds, but not a priority buy. Milenković offers a clear floor through 3105 minutes, 112 points, and 9 clean sheets, and his final three xP projections of 3.44, 3.13, and 3.33 suggest he can tick along. But the lack of attacking threat, just 1 assist and 0 goals, limits the upside badly.
If you need a low-owned £5.1m defender who should keep starting, he is a sensible squad pick. If you are looking for a defender who can swing mini-leagues with double-digit hauls, this is probably a fade. The best label is watch, leaning own only for managers who value minutes security and modest, predictable returns.