Differentials matter even more in GW37 because most engaged managers are now clustered around the same core picks. When ownership gaps are tight at the top, a low-owned return can swing rank quickly. The best route is not chasing random one-week punts, but targeting players with a genuine minutes path and an expected points edge. This week, the standout differential pool is thin, but there are still a few names worth discussing.
Top 5 differentials for GW37
1. Malo Gusto, Chelsea, DEF, £4.8m
Gusto leads the differential table this week with 3.35 xP and just 1.7% ownership. That immediately puts him on the radar. The fixture is home to Tottenham, which is not a clean sheet banker, but full-backs against Spurs can still offer upside through attacking involvement and bonus if the game state breaks right. His recent 0.2 form is poor, so this is not a momentum pick, but among sub-10% options he is still the standout defender.
2. Bernardo Silva, Man City, MID, £6.2m
Bernardo is the best midfield differential in the list, sitting on 3.24 xP with only 0.7% selected. City away at Bournemouth is a fixture that always gives their attackers a platform, and Bernardo’s price at £6.2m makes him a useful squad structure play for managers needing a one-week rank boost. The concern, as ever, is role and minutes, but his 2.2 form suggests at least some recent involvement. If you want a City attacker without following the crowd, he is the clearest route.
3. Filip Jorgensen, Chelsea, GKP, £4.3m
Jorgensen comes in with 3.06 xP and just 0.2% ownership. Goalkeeper differentials are rarely exciting, but they can be effective if you simply want a clean route to save points and a possible clean sheet. Against Spurs at home, he should have save volume even if the clean sheet odds are not elite. His 0.8 form does not scream reliability, so this is more of a calculated upside play than a safe pick.
4. Kinsky, Tottenham, GKP, £3.9m
Kinsky is one of the more interesting names on the board because he pairs a decent projection, 3.01 xP, with the strongest recent form among the goalkeeper punts at 2.8. At just 1.9% ownership, he offers a genuine differential route from the Chelsea defensive options in the same match. If you expect an open game with save opportunities at both ends, Kinsky is very much viable.
5. Trafford, Man City, GKP, £4.5m
Trafford sits on 3.00 xP with only 0.9% selected. The obvious appeal is the fixture, away at Bournemouth, attached to a Manchester City defensive slot. His 0.4 form is low and the bigger issue is always certainty of involvement, but if you get credible team news pointing his way, this becomes one of the cleaner upside punts in the goalkeeper pool.
Risky punts
- Austin, Tottenham, GKP, £3.9m. He has 3.01 xP and only 0.3% ownership. This is purely for managers chasing hard and hoping to catch a start in a volatile goalkeeper spot.
- Slonina, Chelsea, GKP, £3.8m. Also projected at 3.06 xP, with 0.1% ownership. The appeal is obvious if there is any late rotation signal, but without that he is too speculative for most.
Verdict
Gusto is the best all-around GW37 differential on the numbers, 3.35 xP and 1.7% ownership is simply strong for this week. Bernardo Silva is the best attacking swing if you want ceiling over safety. In goal, Jorgensen and Kinsky are the practical punts, while the rest of the list is heavily dependent on unexpected team news. If you are protecting rank, Gusto is enough. If you are chasing, pair him with Bernardo and one of the low-owned keepers.