Top teams for goals in GW37
1. Man City, away vs Bournemouth
City are the clear standout attack this week. Their attack factor sits at 1.51, comfortably the best in the slate, and Bournemouth bring an opposition defensive weakness of 1.05. That combination is exactly what FPL managers want late in the season, a high-volume attack facing a defence with enough vulnerability to allow multiple returns.
The obvious focal point is Erling Haaland at £14.7m, with a slate-leading xP of 7.58. When City top the goal projections by this margin, the discussion usually starts and ends with Haaland. Even if City spread returns, he remains the most likely route into their goals.
Best attacker: Haaland
If you are chasing reliability and ceiling together, this is the premium pick.
2. Bournemouth, home vs Man City
Bournemouth rank second for raw goal upside despite the difficult fixture on paper. Their attack factor is 1.13, but that comes with an opposition defensive weakness of only 0.64, which shows how much of the projection is driven by Bournemouth’s own attacking intent rather than any softness from City.
Evanilson, at £6.6m and xP 3.38, is the standout pick. He is more of a differential punt than a core play, but Bournemouth making this list at all is useful for managers looking beyond template forwards.
Best attacker: Evanilson
He is viable as a one-week upside swing, not a captaincy option.
3. Chelsea, home vs Spurs
Chelsea have one of the most balanced profiles of the week, with an attack factor of 1.11 and Spurs offering a defensive weakness of 1.11. That symmetry matters. It suggests the fixture is strong both in terms of Chelsea’s own attacking output and the quality of the opponent they face.
The leading Chelsea attacker is João Pedro, priced at £7.4m with an impressive xP of 5.75. Among non-Haaland options, that is a serious projection and enough to put him firmly into transfer and armband conversations for aggressive managers.
Best attacker: João Pedro
He looks like the standout alternative captain for those fading City.
4. Spurs, away vs Chelsea
Spurs still make the top tier this week, but the numbers are clearly softer. Their attack factor is 0.93, with Chelsea’s defensive weakness at 0.99. That is playable, not elite. There is enough here for attacking returns, but not enough to treat Spurs as a priority stack.
Richarlison is their best attacker on the model at £6.5m and xP 3.50. That puts him in the differential bracket rather than among the headline names.
Best attacker: Richarlison
He is a reasonable punt if you want to target a likely open game.
5. The rest of the field
There is a noticeable drop after these four. The key takeaway for GW37 is concentration. The best goal environments are heavily clustered around Man City and Chelsea, with Bournemouth and Spurs offering more speculative upside.
Captaincy implications
Haaland is the best captain in GW37, and the data backs it clearly. An attack factor of 1.51 and his 7.58 xP give him the best blend of team environment and individual projection.
If you want an alternative, João Pedro is the standout challenger. Chelsea’s 1.11 attack factor against a 1.11 Spurs defensive weakness creates one of the cleanest non-City routes to points this week.
- Best captain: Haaland
- Best alternative captain: João Pedro
- Best differential forward: Evanilson