Top clean sheet teams for GW37
Chelsea lead the way this week with a 0.38 clean sheet probability at home to Spurs. That is the best number on the board, and it puts their defence firmly at the front of the queue for FPL managers chasing a final week return. The matchup is not without risk given Spurs’ attacking talent, but the model still rates Chelsea as the standout shutout bet.
Spurs are next on the list, interestingly with a 0.32 clean sheet probability away at Chelsea. That tells you this fixture is carrying a fair amount of uncertainty at both ends, but it also gives Tottenham defenders and Vicario real viability if you are shopping in this bracket.
Man City sit third on the ticker with a 0.31 clean sheet probability away at Bournemouth. By City standards that is solid rather than elite, but still good enough to keep them in the conversation. The slight concern is rotation, which matters a lot this late in the season.
Bournemouth are fourth with a 0.23 clean sheet probability at home to Man City. On paper that looks low, and it is, but relative to the rest of the slate it still places them among the better options. If you need a differential, this is one route.
For a fifth team, the probabilities drop off enough that this becomes more of a hold than a buy zone. The main takeaway is that GW37 looks concentrated at the top, with Chelsea, Spurs and City clearly ahead of the wider pack.
Best defender per team
Chelsea
Chelsea are the headline defence this week, so their best defender is naturally one of the strongest picks in the game. If you want to buy into the best clean sheet odds, this is where to start.
Spurs
Spurs’ 0.32 clean sheet probability keeps their back line in play. Their best defender is viable for managers looking to back the numbers rather than the fixture name value.
Man City
City still project well enough to target, but any defender recommendation comes with the usual caveat, check expected minutes carefully before committing.
Bournemouth
Bournemouth are not a safety-first pick against City, but the 0.23 probability is enough to make their best defender a live differential in deeper squads.
Fifth-best option
Outside the top four, defender picks are more about price, nailedness and bench cover than pure clean sheet expectation. This is not a week to force a marginal defensive transfer.
Goalkeeper picks
- Robert Sánchez, Chelsea, £4.8m, xP 3.96. The top goalkeeper pick of the week, backed by Chelsea’s slate-leading 0.38 clean sheet probability at home to Spurs.
- Guglielmo Vicario, Spurs, £4.7m, xP 3.58. Spurs rate surprisingly well at 0.32 for a shutout, which makes Vicario a strong alternative with save upside.
- Dean Henderson is not the name listed here, because the data point provided is Guéhi, £5.1m, xP 4.38 under the Man City line. Treat that as the strongest defensive projection attached to this slot, even though it is not a goalkeeper entry.
- Đorđe Petrović, Bournemouth, £4.6m, xP 3.57. Bournemouth only have a 0.23 clean sheet probability against City, but Petrović still projects well enough to mention thanks to expected save volume.
If you want the cleanest route, Chelsea are first. If you want to chase a slightly lower-owned play, Spurs are close enough on the numbers to justify it. City remain strong, but only if you can trust the minutes.